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Trump Holds Massive Lead Over Biden In Hypothetical 2024 Matchup: POLL

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Mary Lou Masters
March 22, 2023 3:08 PM ET

Former President Donald Trump holds a massive lead over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 head-to-head matchup, according to a recent poll.

Trump is winning against Biden 47% to 41%, respectively, in a 2024 presidential rematch among registered voters, according to a Premise poll. The poll indicates a swing of 8 percentage points towards the former president, as a February Premise poll had Trump down 42% to 44% against Biden.

The majority of Republicans and Democrats voted for their respective candidate, with 87% of GOP voters going for Trump and 75% of Democrats picking Biden. Among Independents, 39% backed Trump, and only 22% went for Biden.

Nearly half of the Hispanic/Latino voters tapped Trump at 49%, and the majority of black voters backed Biden at 61%.

The same poll indicates that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has not yet entered the race but is widely expected to do so, would also win in a hypothetical matchup with the president, but only by 1 percentage point.

Trump is the clear favorite in a crowded GOP primary field, leading DeSantis 56% to 25%, according to the poll. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz follows the two front-runners with 5%, respectively, and former Vice President Mike Pence is just behind them at 4%.

The Real Clear Politics (RCP) average for a general election between the current and former president indicates that Biden has a 1.2 percentage point lead from Jan. 27 – Mar. 13.

Trump is down by 3 percentage points against Biden in a general election face off, according to a Mar. 21 Morning Consult poll. Biden leads Trump 49% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters, according to a Mar. 15 Quinnipiac poll. The former president is up 4 percentage points against Biden in a 2024 rematch, according to a Feb. 28 Emerson poll.

The Premise poll surveyed 1,509 registered voters over the course of Mar. 16 – 21.

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